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SPC Day 4-8 Outlook

Updates are issued at 400 am CST/CDT (0900/1000 UTC) - Current UTC time: 18-03-2018 03:51


Day 1

D4Tuesday Mar 20 2018 - Wednesday Mar 21 2018 D7Friday Mar 23 2018 - Saturday Mar 24 2018
D5Wednesday Mar 21 2018 - Thursday Mar 22 2018 D8Saturday Mar 24 2018 - Sunday Mar 25 2018
D6Thursday Mar 22 2018 - Friday Mar 23 2018 (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
PREDICTABILITY TOO LOW is used to indicate severe storms may be possible based on some model scenarios. However, the location or occurrence of severe storms are in doubt due to:
1) large differences in the deterministic model solutions,
2) large spread in the ensemble guidance, and/or
3) minimal run-to-run continuity.

POTENTIAL TOO LOW means the threat for a regional area of organized severe storms appears highly unlikely during the entire period (e.g. less than a 30% probability for a regional severe storm area across the CONUS through the entire Day 4-8 period).

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Day 2

Day 3

Largly based on original scripts from Ken True: saratoga-weather.org and Rick Curly: ricksturf.com

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